Friday, May 13, 2011

Red Queens and Increasing Returns



When you decided to obtain a DVD for your science fiction assignment in Module 4, where did you go to find a movie based on a Philip K. Dick book? Did you rent or purchase a DVD, or did you view it digitally on your computer using Netflix or a similar vendor of video on demand?

Netflix does not have Minority Report with Instant Viewing privileges (yet) so I could have ordered it for delivery from Netflix (takes about 2-3 days) or I would have rented it at a Red Box for $1. However, I chose Minority Report because it is one of my favorites and I had already purchased a DVD copy when it was released in 2002.

Is the current competition between DVDs and video on demand an example of increasing returns or Red Queens? Justify your response with sound reasoning and specific examples.

At first I thought video on demand was passing DVDs and eventually making them obsolete. However, the price is still higher for video on demand that it is for Netflix or for Red Box rental of DVDs. The video on demand (home.vod.com) that was posted online offered a 1000 minutes subscription for $86. That equates to about 9 videos averaging $10 each. I can rent the DVD at Red Box for $1 each. So now I am thinking they are Red Queens until video streaming becomes less costly or free. If that happens, then these would not be considered to be equivalent technologies that are constantly being updated, and DVDs would be replaced by video on demand, which meets the 4 main criteria (Anderson, 2004 TedTalk) as the price comes down, market share increases, displaces DVDs, and is becoming ubiquitous. As economics favors the free or less costly video on demand, we would see increasing returns to the exclusion or obsolescence of DVDs. It would be the case of a cheaper product. The DVDs will be left behind and replaced. Moore’s law predicts this will probably happen in the near future as technology exponentially grows.
Here is the link to the Anderson 2004 TedTalk:http://www.ted.com/index.php/talks/chris_anderson_of_wired_on_tech_s_long_tail.html


• Where do you think DVDs and video on demand are on the four criteria of McLuhan’s tetrad?


Video on Demand may eventually replace and make obsolete DVDs (if it becomes ubiquitous and the price goes close to free) which replaced and made obsolete the VHS.

5 comments:

  1. Do you think it will be based entirely on price or do you think the picture quality will be a consideration?

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  2. Hi Bob,
    Live streaming or VOD? Is there a quality difference? I have watched Netflix instant and can see no difference in quality between live streaming and DVDs. Have you noticed a difference?

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  3. Yes, I do, But I always wondered if that was due to the connection speed from the IP provider. I am at 5 meg. I notice a distinct difference in Hd streaming, not so much with regular DVD and streaming.

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  4. Marlene:

    There are VoD providers. Amazon offer instant video, where you do not have to be a subscriber, but you rent a movie for about $3.00. The beauty with streaming now more than ever, the LCD’s are equipped with ports that allow the computer to be attached to it, making it easy for the entire family to watch.

    Soushira

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  5. Marlene. I certainly concur with your decision about Red Queens and your reasoning for that is sound. I had not heard of Red Box before and will check it out. Thanks.
    Sandy

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